Sunday, October 16, 2022

Why Most Stocks May Go Nowhere for the Next 10 Years! / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Here's why PE ratio's matter as the following chart shows the return 10 years forward from the starting average PE i.e if the stock market is trading on an average PE of 27 than can basically be expected to go nowhere for the next 10 years. Whilst the lower the PE the higher the expected return (on average), where the safe zone for investing is at a starting PE of between 10 and 20. Note graphs is as of September 2021, see below for updated ratios.

Sunday, October 16, 2022

Post-bubble Economic Contraction / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2022

By: Gary_Tanashian

“Post-bubble contraction” (PBC) as coined by Bob Hoye, may finally be at hand

Bob Hoye has been talking about a coming post-bubble contraction (PBC) for many years, in my experience. Now after many false starts, it may finally be in play on the wider macro picture. Past contractions (e.g. 2008 and 2020) have proven to be little more than precursors, triggers to new asset bubble phases because the Fed’s main macro manipulation tool, bonds, were in a multi-decade long trend of disinflationary signaling.

To this point with respect to the PBC, timing has been an issue. This is not a critique of Hoye, a fine financial historian and macro fundamental analyst. In fact, it is the opposite. It is from him that I learned the proper fundamentals for gold and especially the gold mining industry. But perfectly good deflationary meltdowns (of previous inflationary operations) were foiled in both 2008 and 2020.

Why were they foiled so effectively? Because the Federal Reserve and global central banks have for decades had a lenient bond market to fall back on (the fabled ‘bond vigilantes of yore apparently rode into a small town, hit the saloon and never again emerged… until 2022, that is). I have for many years now used the 30-year yield ‘Continuum’ (monthly 30yr yield chart, below) as a nice visual to the mechanics of the Fed’s macro-manipulative wheel house, the US Treasury bond market.

Saturday, October 15, 2022

Feeding the Stocks Bear Market Beast / Stock-Markets / Investing 2022

By: Nadeem_Walayat

For some reason most folk when looking at the charts focus on the high vs the low as if investors only buy and sell at the exact highs and lows, well maybe the mania herd bought near the highs last year to sell near the lows this year but most intelligent investors don't invest that way i.e. during the second half of last year, I sold down 80% of my AI tech stocks portfolio in advance of this bear market, including warning virtually within a few percent of the high to get ready for a bear market during 2022 and maybe even worse a crash! That was on the 5th of December 2021!

Saturday, October 15, 2022

New Banking Crisis Looms as Fears of “Lehman Moment” Rise / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2022

By: MoneyMetals

As new inflation data pushes the Fed toward continuing with rate hikes, precious metals markets are struggling to make headway.

On Thursday, the government released Consumer Price Index data for September. The so-called core CPI, which excludes food and energy, increased 6.6% from a year ago. That’s the highest core inflation studying since 1982.

Although prices at the pump have eased since the summer peak, other inflation components continue to rise. Housing, food, and medical care are currently among the biggest contributors to rising consumer prices.

Wednesday, October 12, 2022

Why Most Stocks May Go Nowhere for the Next 10 Years! / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Here's why PE ratio's matter as the following chart shows the return 10 years forward from the starting average PE i.e if the stock market is trading on an average PE of 27 than can basically be expected to go nowhere for the next 10 years. Whilst the lower the PE the higher the expected return (on average), where the safe zone for investing is at a starting PE of between 10 and 20. Note graphs is as of September 2021, see below for updated ratios.

Monday, October 10, 2022

Stock Market Trend Current State of Play / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022

By: Nadeem_Walayat

S&P closed at 3680. trading to a low of 3633, June's low is 3622, so the 50% retracement studies conclusion so far remains in tact which implies that this decline is a bear trap, to be clear a trap for the bears all betting on a collapse into the abyss of 3,200 and below, fantasy numbers such as 3000 area being bandied around, and apparently Monday 26th is the end of the SHIEMITA when a big CRASH is due!, Note I don't for a minute take this nonsense seriously, anyway today's the last day of the SHEIMTA that was ironically brought to my attention in June near the bear market lows when there were shrill cries of SELL EVERYTHING NOW! In which case the Shemita folk are looking to break even today (in US dollars). To be clear SHIMTA is BS, but like all BS's there will be coincidences which with the benefit of hindsight will be twisted and turned into support of BS as will probably happen to this SHEIMITA where what it originally implied will be subverted with the benefit of hindsight, that's the case with religious mumbo jumbo, people actually do want to believe in the super natural! That ancient religious texts somehow have magic powers to predict what the stock market will do in 2022 which can only happen via a self fulfilling prophecy, i.e. if enough believe in it and act on it then yes it sort of comes true, which in fact is the basis of Technical Analysis, traders and algo's lock step acting on wiggly lines on the charts. A quick google shows that most of the major market CRASH events happened AFTER SHEMITA but for some reason SHEMITA claims jurisdiction over them as well i.e. 1987 Crash, 9-11 attack and so on,

Thursday, October 06, 2022

Jerome Powell's TRANSITORY DIP in INFLATION, AI and High Risk Stocks Updated Buying Levels / Stock-Markets / Investing 2022

By: Nadeem_Walayat

INFLATION! INFLATION! INFLATION!

The big questions for the US and how our US tech stocks will fair over the coming year are -

1. Does the Federal Reserve finally understand just how dangerous inflation actually is ?

2. If it does then how is it going to subvert the inflationary policies of the White house, does not matter which clown is in office i.e. democrat or republican, BOTH have tendencies towards rampant money printing given the 4 year election cycle.

Sunday, October 02, 2022

Answering the Question - Has the Stocks Bear Market Bottomed? Apple Nut About Crack? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Dear Reader

Has the BEAR market Bottomed? That is the question I am most often asked for the duration of this bear market, where my earlier responses were that my focus was on accumulating target stocks as they DEVIIATE FROM THEIR HIGHS TO NEW LOWS, so where the indices actually bottom is largely irrelevant. Still this is the most asked question so following the June bottom my stance changed to the bottom is probably in for most target stocks, though I cannot say the same for the indices. However in the run up to 4180 I had penciled in a subsequent bear swing target of between 3720 to 3920 for a probable higher low, which means that June was probably the bottom. This weeks price action further strongly suggests that the BOTTOM IS IN as I voiced in the comments section of my last article where for me the key indication was the breakout above 4200, it was not an intraday move or a few shallow spikes above 4200, Instead the S&P rocketed higher by over 110 points in a 3 day run from 4200 to 4317 that acted as a strong indicator that 3637 was THE BOTTOM, and thus all we can now seek is a correction of a fraction of the rally off the bottom for a 2nd bite at the AI stocks investing cherries.

However, the bottom is in is also based on my past studies that suggest a 50% reversal from the bear market lows usually act as a strong indication of the bottom being in which is the focus of this analysis that acts as a further excerpt from my forthcoming in-depth analysis that I have hit the pause button on for 1 week as I venture out of my castle for the first time in 6 months to travel to Wales for some sun, sea and sand and perhaps see if I can find Excalibur in one of it's many lakes that follows the slow recovery form my March ruptured Achilles tendon injury that revealed the extent to which the NHS is a JOKE Health Service when one actually has the misfortune to use it.

Saturday, October 01, 2022

Fed QT2 Imperils Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022

By: Zeal_LLC

The Fed’s second quantitative-tightening campaign already ramped up to full-speed in September, with dire market implications.  The unprecedented scale of QT2’s monetary destruction dwarfs QT1’s, which crushed stock markets.  With inflation raging out of control because of the Fed’s extreme quantitative-easing money printing, it has no choice but to run aggressive QT even though that imperils overvalued stocks.

Like many serious economic problems today, the Fed’s intractable money-supply-inflation mess was born in March 2020’s pandemic-lockdown stock panic.  In just over a single month, the flagship S&P 500 stock index plummeted an apocalyptic 33.9%!  Traders were terrified government-imposed lockdowns to fight the new COVID-19 virus would force a severe recession or full-blown depression, so they ran for the hills.

Fed officials joined in that panicking, deeply thinking that the negative wealth effect from cratering stocks would crush consumer spending and thus the US economy.  So the Federal Open Market Committee rushed to intervene, making two emergency inter-meeting federal-funds-rate cuts of 50 basis points and 100bp!  But with the latter slamming the FFR back down to zero, the Fed was out of rate-cut ammunition.

So these elite central bankers making monetary policy decided to radically expand their already-underway fourth QE campaign.  QE4 had been born about five months earlier in mid-October 2019, adding $275b to the Fed’s balance sheet in that span.  At that same Sunday-evening meeting where the FOMC slashed its FFR 100bp, it pledged to monetize “at least” $500b in US Treasuries and $200b in mortgage-backed bonds.

Wednesday, September 28, 2022

STOCKS BEAR MARKET DISCOUNTING EVENT BIG PICTURE / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022

By: Nadeem_Walayat

As my recent excerpt from my forthcoming mega-piece on the stock market illustrated, there is a 80% probability that the bear market has bottomed and so far it has not done anything to negate this probability. Therefore it looks like we are coming out of our 6th MAJOR discounting event since the BIG Financial Armageddon BAD BEAR MARKET bottomed in March 2009.

Zoom out of hourly and daily charts and see the true magnitude of the 2022 bear market that has so many thinking of much worse to come.MSM coverage of the financial markets is akin to a fly buzzing around that needs swatting!

Wednesday, September 28, 2022

How to Profit During a Bear Market - Portfolio Account / Stock-Markets / Investing 2022

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Back in early April I opened an IKBR ISA with £20k (ISA limit) that I proceeded to quickly populate with target stocks as they traded down to new bear market lows. ISA's limit what one can do, i.e. NO SHORTING, Options and no access to most ETF's due to HMRC rules, another restriction is one cannot hold US Dollars, every buy and sell has to be converted into and out of US dollars, so ISA's are definitely geared towards longer term investors. Anyway the IKBR ISA acts as a good real world proxy for how my public portfolio should perform if one followed my analysis, where the primary goal is to accumulate during this temporary bear market to capitalise on during the subsequent bull market, my expectations from the outset were that there WILL BE DRAWDOWNS because stock prices FALL during bear markets so as to result in the buying opportunities, stocks getting cheaper during a bear market is a good thing! Cheaper in terms of their valuations for if a stock price falls and the stock gets more expensive in valuation terms then that is NOT a good thing!

Current state of the IKBR ISA is up 12% since inception (Early April 2022) through following my analysis of buying target stocks when they trade down to NEW LOWS and then trimming lightly on the subsequent rallies, cash now comprises about 33% of this portfolio up from about 3% near the lows, as IKBR does not charge a rip off f/x fee as many brokers, for comparison FreeTrade charges 0.45%, AJ Bell 1% and Interactive Investor charge 1.5%, what are they smoking! AJ Bell recently cut their f/x fee to 0.75% but their platform is a pain in the butt to use for US stocks i.e. NO LIMIT ORDERS!

Monday, September 26, 2022

S&P June Stock Market Lows - To Break or Not to Break? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Stock Market - To break the June Low or not to break the June low, that is the question?

Saturday, September 24, 2022

Stock Market BULL Trap SET! / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Stock Market FOMO's to 4280 Friday close ending at the high of the day! Short covering rally triggered by CPLIE of 8.5% down from 9.1% for June, all blind to the reality of what Inflation above 4% let alone above 8% actually means for the US economy and how it impacts the every day lives of ordinary americans that are destined for greater pain with each passing month even if CPLIE nose dives to under 4% which will make NO difference in terms of the Inflation pain that I suspect will run for the whole of this decade as the 10 year inflation graph warns of what looks set to come to pass. It's not rocket science, it's the consequences of over $9 trillion of QE, and $35 trillion of total GLOBAL money printing QE, the only way it won't show up in the inflation indices is if they systematically exclude everything that goes up in price, perhaps only leaving the ball point pen that Jerome Powell fidgets with at every Fed meeting.

Friday, September 23, 2022

Economic Conditions, Market Performance Worsen after Fed Rate Hike / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2022

By: MoneyMetals

Precious metals markets are trying to tough this week despite another large rate hike by the Federal Reserve.

On Wednesday, the Fed raised its benchmark interest rate by three quarters as expected. Fed chairman Jerome Powell vowed to bring inflation down and restore price stability.

Jerome Powell: My colleagues and I are strongly committed to bringing inflation back down to our 2% goal. We have both the tools we need and the resolve that it will take to restore price stability on behalf of American families and businesses. Price stability is the responsibility of the Federal Reserve and serves as the bedrock of our economy. Without price stability, the economy does not work for anyone. We are moving our policy stance purposefully to a level that will be sufficiently restrictive to return inflation to 2%. The longer the current bout of high inflation continues the greater the chance that expectations of higher inflation will become entrenched.

After pursuing ultra-loose monetary policy that fomented price instability and massive inflation in the first place, Powell seems to now want to model himself after former Fed chairman Paul Volcker. In the early 1980s, Volcker jacked up interest rates to the highest on record to finally curtail the inflation surge from the late 1970s.

Friday, September 23, 2022

Why You Should Be Leery of the Stocks Bond 60 / 40 Portfolio / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022

By: EWI

"The tidal wave of risk assumption … may be turning"

Many investors allocate a percentage of their portfolios to bonds to cushion against a drop in the stock market.

A popular allocation is a 60 / 40 mix of stocks and bonds.

However, this hasn't worked out recently. Here's a Yahoo! Finance headline (Sept. 6):

The 60/40 strategy is on pace for its worst year since 1936: BofA

The mix of 60% stocks and 40% bonds was down 19.4% from the start of the year through the end of August, according to Bank of America Global Research.

Thursday, September 22, 2022

Stock Market Smashing Fed Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022

By: Monica_Kingsley

S&P 500 turned decisively lower, with only a very brief spike that got reversed within an hour. No room for bullish misinterpretation, Powell didn‘t say really anything that could feed buy the dip sentiment – he delivered. Treasuries are getting accustomed to the soft landing not turning out so soft in the future actually – yields at the long end of the curve have finally turned down while Fed tightening keeps being reflected on the short end, and junk bonds are suffering.

In all the risk-off, the dollar was unable to hold on to sharp gains both yesterday and today, and together with the crypto premarket upswing and real asset resiliency, this points to a reprieve in paper asset selling later this week. SPX 3,825 is the key level to watch today. I like the message commodities and precious metals are sending here – once it gets accompanied by miners and oil sector stocks, things would get brighter, but we are not there yet. Suffice to say that sharp downside is being decisively rejected.

Wednesday, September 21, 2022

STOCKS BEAR MARKETS ARE SUPPOSED TO BE PAINFUL! / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The bottom line is that bear markets are supposed to be PAINFUL! And I can tell many investors feel that PAIN from the comments as they post the latest price of say Intel or AMD or TSMC or any other stock trading lower as if I have a magic button to press to make the stock go higher. So if you are feeling PAIN then go read my earlier recent articles on the psychology of investing in bear markets because bear markets are PAINFUL where the degree of pain experienced depends on what time frame on is focused upon.

Tuesday, September 20, 2022

Stocks Bear Market Accumulation Strategy / Stock-Markets / Investing 2022

By: Nadeem_Walayat

My strategy for this bear market from the outset has been be to accumulate during a volatile trend to a probable Dow target of 29k to 30k where I settled on my best guess of 29.6k, by late August. In the course of which I was expecting volatile swings of between 15% to 30% in either direction that would allow me to BUY big during the DIPs and then SELL a portion of what I bought during the bear market rallies, as well as selective shorting. Unfortunately this bear market has tuned out to be LESS volatile than what I was expecting i.e. swings higher of 9% are just not enough for any significant trimming of positions as the table illustrates.

Friday, September 16, 2022

Dow Stock Market Elliott Wave Trend Forecast / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Despite being skeptical of Elliott wave theory and not abiding by any of it's tenants, i.e. I number the counts as I see them regardless of following the 'rules'. Nevertheless Elliott wave proved a useful tool during 2021 in the count down to the end of the Stocks bull market and the start of this bear market as the charts illustrate that there are times when EW BS actually works!

Thursday, September 15, 2022

Stock Market Elliott Wave Analysis and Trend Forecast Sept to Dec 2022 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Despite being skeptical of Elliott wave theory and not abiding by any of it's tenants, i.e. I number the counts as I see them regardless of following the 'rules'. Nevertheless Elliott wave proved a useful tool during 2021 in the count down to the end of the Stocks bull market and the start of this bear market as the charts illustrate that there are times when EW BS actually works!

October 12, 2022, 06:37 PM EDT

The cuts affected workers at Oracle offices in Redwood City, Calif., home to the tech giant’s former headquarters. The jobs that were affected included data scientists, application developers, marketing specialists and software developers.

Oracle has laid off more than 200 of its workers in California months after reports surfaced that the tech giant was considering “thousands” of job cuts on the heels of its $28 billion Cerner acquisition.

The Austin, Texas company cut 201 jobs in total on Oct. 3 from its Redwood City, Calif. office, according to its Worker Adjustment and Retraining Notification (WARN) filed in California. The job cuts took effect Oct. 3 and was received by the California Employment Development Department Sept. 30, according to the WARN.

In a letter to the state obtained by CRN, Oracle said the layoffs would be permanent and said that its Redwood Shores campus would not be closing as a result of the job cuts. Oracle formerly housed its headquarters in Redwood City, but moved it to Austin at the end of 2020.

Among the jobs cut in this round, according to the Aug. 4 letter to the state from Anje Dodson, senior vice president of human resources at Oracle: data scientists, application developers, marketing specialists and software developers.

CRN has reached out to Oracle for comment.

As of this past May, Oracle employed approximately 143,000 full-time employees, of which about 48,000 are based in the U.S. and the rest internationally, according to a regulatory filing.

Oracle closed its acquisition of healthcare digital information system provider Cerner in June. The company began to notify employees of layoffs in early August, according to a report in The Information at the time. That matches with the date on the WARN notice, which states that this crop of employees received notification about the layoffs on August 4.

The company is the No. 1 employer in Redwood City, Calif. with over 6,500 workers there, according to the city.

New release delivers seven JDK Enhancement Proposals to increase developer productivity, Strengthen the Java language, and enhance the platform's performance, stability, and security

Java 19's key capabilities to be showcased at JavaOne 2022 in Las Vegas on October 17-20

AUSTIN, Texas, Sept. 20, 2022 /PRNewswire/ -- Oracle today announced the availability of Java 19, the latest version of the world's number one programming language and development platform. Java 19 (Oracle JDK 19) delivers thousands of performance, stability, and security improvements, including enhancements to the platform that will help developers Strengthen productivity and drive business-wide innovation. Oracle will showcase the latest capabilities in Java 19 at JavaOne 2022, taking place October 17-20 in Las Vegas, and via a keynote broadcast airing on dev.java/ at 9:00 a.m. PT on Tuesday, September 20.

"Our ongoing collaboration with the developer community is the lifeblood of Java. As the steward of Java, Oracle is steadfastly committed to providing developers and enterprises with the latest tools to help them create innovative apps and services," said Georges Saab, senior vice president of development, Java Platform and Chair, OpenJDK Governing Board, Oracle. "The powerful new enhancements in Java 19 are a testament to the monumental work across the global Java community."

The latest Java Development Kit (JDK) provides updates and improvements with seven JDK Enhancement Proposals (JEPs). Most of these updates are to be delivered as follow-up preview features improving on functionality introduced in earlier releases.

JDK 19 delivers language Improvements from OpenJDK project Amber (Record Patterns and Pattern Matching for Switch); library enhancements to interoperate with non-Java Code (Foreign Function and Memory API) and to leverage vector instructions (Vector API) from OpenJDK project Panama; and the first previews for Project Loom (Virtual Threads and Structured Concurrency), which will drastically reduce the effort required to write and maintain high-throughput, concurrent applications in Java.

Story continues

"Java developers are increasingly seeking tools to help them efficiently build highly functional applications for deployment in the cloud, on-premises, and in hybrid environments," said Arnal Dayaratna, research vice president, software development, IDC. "The enhancements in Java 19 deliver on these requirements and illustrate how the Java ecosystem is well-positioned to meet the current and future needs of developers and enterprises."

Oracle delivers new Java Feature releases every six months via a predictable release schedule. This cadence provides a steady stream of innovations while delivering continuous improvements to the platform's performance, stability, and security, helping increase Java's pervasiveness across organizations and industries of all sizes.

The most significant updates delivered in Java 19 are:

Updates and Improvements to the Language

• JEP 405: Record Patterns (Preview): Enables users to nest record patterns and type patterns to create a powerful, declarative, and composable form of data navigation and processing. This extends pattern matching to allow for more sophisticated and composable data queries.

• JEP 427: Pattern Matching for Switch (Third Preview): Enables pattern matching for switch expressions and statements by permitting an expression to be tested against a number of patterns. This allows users to express complex data-oriented queries concisely and safely.

Library Tools

• JEP 424: Foreign Function and Memory API (Preview): Enables Java programs to more easily interoperate with code and data outside of the Java runtime. By efficiently invoking foreign functions (i.e., code outside the Java Virtual Machine [JVM]), and by safely accessing foreign memory (i.e., memory not managed by the JVM), this API enables Java programs to call native libraries and process native data via a pure Java development model. This results in increased ease-of-use, performance, flexibility, and safety.

• JEP 426: Vector API (Fourth Incubator): Enables superior performance compared to equivalent scalar computations by expressing vector computations that reliably compile at runtime to vector instructions on supported CPU architectures.

Ports

Project Loom Preview/Incubator Features

• JEP 425: Virtual Threads (Preview): Dramatically reduces the effort of writing, maintaining, and observing high-throughput concurrent applications by introducing lightweight virtual threads to the Java Platform. Using virtual threads allows developers to easily troubleshoot, debug, and profile concurrent applications with existing JDK tools and techniques.

• JEP 428: Structured Concurrency (Incubator): Streamlines error handling and cancellation, improves reliability, and enhances observability by simplifying multithreaded programming and treating multiple tasks running in different threads as a single unit of work.

Driving Java Innovation in the Cloud

The Java 19 release is the result of extensive collaboration between Oracle engineers and other members of the worldwide Java developer community via the OpenJDK Project and the Java Community Process (JCP). In addition to new enhancements, Java 19 is supported by Java Management Service – an Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI) native service – that provides a single pane of glass to help organizations manage Java runtimes and applications on-premises or on any cloud.

Supporting Java Customers

The Oracle Java SE Subscription is a pay-as-you-go offering that provides customers with best-in-class support, entitlement to GraalVM Enterprise, access to the Java Management Service, and the flexibility to upgrade at the pace of their businesses. This helps IT organizations manage complexity, contain costs, and mitigate security risks. In addition, Java SE and GraalVM Enterprise are offered free of charge on OCI, enabling developers to build and deploy applications that run faster, better, and with unbeatable cost-performance on Oracle Cloud. 

Underscoring Java's popularity with the global developer community, Oracle is proud to recognize the one millionth completed Java certification. Java certifications help developers stand out as Java experts and raise their profiles with enterprises seeking to attract highly skilled Java professionals.

Additional Resources

About Oracle

Oracle offers integrated suites of applications plus secure, autonomous infrastructure in the Oracle Cloud. For more information about Oracle (NYSE: ORCL), please visit us at www.oracle.com.

Trademarks

Oracle, Java, and MySQL are registered trademarks of Oracle Corporation.

View original content to download multimedia:https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/oracle-releases-java-19-301627861.html

SOURCE Oracle

Monday, September 19, 2022

How Much Longer Can the US Dollar Trade Last? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Richard_Mills

This year has seen a correction in the gold price, commensurate with rising interest rates, and the spectre of more to come. The precious metal has also been hammered by a strong US dollar, which is negatively correlated to the gold price.

Spot gold has fallen from about $1,800 an ounce at the start of the year, to $1,675 currently, a drop of 7.4%. On Thursday, Sept. 15, gold plunged to its lower level since April, 2020, on expectations of a 0.75% interest rate increase next week by the Federal Reserve.

Thursday, September 15, 2022

Is it too late to play Ethereum’s upcoming Merge? / Currencies / cryptocurrency

By: Stephen_McBride

Ethereum’s big merge is happening on September 14…

RiskHedge Chief Analyst Stephen McBride says it’s the most important crypto event since Ethereum’s debut seven years ago.

The Merge is set to forever transform Ethereum, the second-biggest crypto.

It’ll make it more energy efficient and attractive for big-money investors to own.

Wednesday, July 20, 2022

Bitcoin Scams to Be on the Lookout For / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Steve_Barker

Crypto scams are on the rise, with CNBC reporting that in 2021 "a record $14 billion" was snatched by cyber criminals in all sorts of ways!

Bitcoin scams are a major part of the fraud that's been happening in recent years. This makes sense since Bitcoin has the largest market cap by far more than any other cryptocurrency.

In this guide, we'll delve into the shady world of Bitcoin and crypto scams. Read this article in full to get the lowdown on everything you should look out for and aim to avoid in terms of crypto scams!

Sunday, July 17, 2022

Is it Time to provide up on Crypto? / Currencies / cryptocurrency

By: Stephen_McBride

Crypto just wrapped up a brutal first half of the year…

Bitcoin’s down nearly 60%...

Ethereum, the world’s second largest crypto, has fallen 70%...

And many smaller cryptos are down 90%+

If you’re invested in crypto… and thinking about throwing in the towel…

Saturday, July 16, 2022

USDD New Ponzi TRON SCAM Stable Coin WARNING - Offering 30% APY Hook to Crypto Suckers / Currencies / cryptocurrency

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Crypto fools, here's A NEW Stable coin ponzi scheme ready to suck in your hard earned wealth hot on the heels of the Terra Luna crypto scam stable coin that did it's rug pull early May that within days was followed by the USDD scam stable coin that purportedly has already sucked in $720mln dollars by offering suckered a 30% APY interest rate. Don't be fools! Nothing pays you 30% APY! Only scam turd coins like USDD

The bottom line is that stable coins are a crypto SCAM factory, as soon as one rug pulls another one pops up, probably operated by the scam artists.

This is why crypto's will be regulated because the stable coins are a SCAM FACTORY that I have been warning of for well over a YEAR!

YOU HAVE BEEN WARNED!

Wednesday, July 13, 2022

How to Purchase USDT / Currencies / cryptocurrency

By: Sumeet_Manhas

Tether, also known as USDT, is the world's leading stablecoin as far as market capitalization is concerned. Theoretically, stablecoins are a stable alternative for altcoins and bitcoin since their value is pegged to a fiat currency, e.g., the United States dollar. Therefore, those purchasing USDT and other stablecoins are more interested in the decentralization and anonymity they offer rather than price upsurges and falls.

The United Kingdom government is currently working on a strategy to recognize stablecoins as an official state payment method. However, this year, stablecoins have been hit by a wave of volatility; this made Tether lose a 1:1 tie with the US dollar in June.

Thursday, July 07, 2022

Will Crypto Loyalty Programs Replace Traditional Loyalty Points? / Currencies / cryptocurrency

By: Submissions

Loyalty programs are an essential part of the successful marketing strategy of any business. They are a main source-hook for retention and penetrative engagement.  Lately, the crypto industry has widely been adopting these programs.

As with the growing popularity of digital assets, the common question here is:

Saturday, June 25, 2022

Who (or What) Is Really in Charge of Bitcoin's Price Swings? / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: EWI

Bitcoin lost three-quarters of its value since November. "Market fundamentals" have lost control of its trend. But something else has been at the wheel the whole time.

I'm not ashamed to admit I have the technological intelligence of an Eggo waffle. So, when my computer bugged out the other day, I called the IT department at work. The tech wizard on the other end showed me to a webpage where I had to click a box that read: "Consent to Control." From that point, the IT guy was able to hack into my laptop, find the source of the glitch, and remedy the problem.

As I sat there watching my cursor move around the monitor on its own, clicking tab after tab as if by some phantomlike force, I thought,

"Holy moly, this is the virtual screenshare of mainstream financial wisdom."

Summarized as such: External forces known as "market fundamentals" operate prices remotely. Positive fundamentals cause the price "cursor" to rise, while negative news and events trigger selloffs. And investors? They have little choice but to "consent" to this outside control.

Saturday, May 28, 2022

Sorry, Warren Buffett, You’re wrong About Crypto Currencies / Currencies / cryptocurrency

By: Stephen_McBride

I’ll warn you now.

What I’m about to say about the greatest investor of all time is controversial…

First, let me clear the air. We all know Warren Buffett is a legend when it comes to stocks. He’s made an annualized return of 20% for his shareholders since 1965. No one can match his track record, discipline, or longevity.

As my colleague, Chris Reilly, pointed out on May 16, Buffett’s buying quality stocks hand-over-first right now with markets down.

That’s a smart move that’s likely to pay off big time.

Tuesday, May 24, 2022

Globalists Convene to Plan Central Bank Digital Currencies / Currencies / cryptocurrency

By: MoneyMetals

Central bankers and bureaucrats are seizing on recent turmoil in cryptocurrency markets to push aggressively for central bank digital currencies (CBDCs).

They made their case to other global elites gathered in Davos on Monday for the World Economic Forum’s annual meeting.

Kristalina Georgieva, managing director of the International Monetary Fund, said, “Bitcoin may be called a coin, but it’s not money. It’s not a stable store of value.”

Tuesday, May 17, 2022

All Possible Ways to Earn Free Litecoin / Currencies / cryptocurrency

By: Submissions

Litecoin, created as a fork of Bitcoin, is among the top 10 cryptocurrencies in terms of both popularity and market capitalization.

With so many advantages of this cryptocurrency over Bitcoin, earning Litecoin can be a great investment choice. Additionally, it is accepted by a variety of merchants.

The most common and convenient way to get Litecoin is to buy it from a crypto exchange - Agreed! But what if I tell you that you can earn free Litecoin. Surprised! You should be.

If you still can't believe it, read this article till the end to know all possible ways to earn free Litecoin. So, let's start without wasting a second.
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Wednesday, May 11, 2022

Crypto Investors Stable Coins TERROR as Terra USD COLLAPSEs towards ZERO, Tether Next! / Currencies / cryptocurrency

By: Nadeem_Walayat

It's been a while since I last did a video warning about stable coins such USDT or rather unstable coins that are supposed to be pegged to the dollar that I have repeatedly warned are ponzi schemes backed by high risk debt instruments as that is how issuers make their money they put your dollars to work in high risk corporate bonds, and even crypto's where everything sales along until the peg cracks when investors realise that their stable coin holdings are not covered by the value of the underlying assets and then it collapses in spectacular style event at a greater pace than when crypto's crash and so it was yesterday with Terra USD more aptly Terror USD.

Wednesday, May 11, 2022

Is Bitcoin Headed to Zero? / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: EWI

"40% of bitcoin investors are now underwater"

Charlie Munger is Berkshire Hathaway's co-chairman, and on April 30 at the firm's shareholder meeting, he said:

[Bitcoin] is stupid because it's very likely to go to zero.

Berkshire Hathaway chairman Warren Buffet also expressed a negative sentiment toward the cryptocurrency.

Bitcoin's recent price action appears to support the views of the two billionaire investors, at least at this juncture.

Here's a CNBC headline from the evening of May 9:

Bitcoin dips below $30,000, drops more than 56% from its all-time high

Monday, May 09, 2022

A Strengthening US Dollar Is A Double-Edged Sword / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The US Dollar continues to attract capital from investors all over the world. But could this be a double-edged sword for US stocks? As capital flocks to the USD, this in turn hurts US multinationals as they need to convert their weak foreign currency profits back into USD.

The USD safe-haven trade may eventually trigger a broad and deep selloff in US stocks. As the USD continues to strengthen, corporate profits for US multinationals will shrink or disappear.

US Multinational $1 Billion Revenue Example:

• $1 billion in revenue-generating a 15% net profit with a net neutral 0% currency translation equals a $150 million profit.
• $1 billion in revenue-generating a 15% net profit with a negative -15% unfavorable currency translation expense equals a $0 profit!

In addition, the impact of inflation on the global consumer will lead to a pullback in consumer spending which will further reduce corporate revenues and profits. The combination of the global currency dislocation along with the economic cool off will bring on a global recession.

Thursday, May 05, 2022

.... / Currencies / cryptocurrency

By: Submissions

Monday, May 02, 2022

Online Forex Trading for Beginners / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Submissions

The currency market is a highly traded financial market, with around $6 trillion in transactions on a daily basis. The market is a massive trading place globally with buying and selling of different currency pairs.

However, this massive trading makes it risky and complex for traders to make money from it. The price fluctuations, impacts of policies, and interbank regulations all make it hard for one to earn. Even the market is unregulated in some parts of the world.

Therefore, to support the forex market beginners here, we have how traders could execute online forex trading to have a handful of profits.

Thursday, April 28, 2022

Online Forex Trading for professionals / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Submission

To become a professional in forex trading, one has to learn the basics of the trade. This needs to sharpen trading skills with the best online books, blogs or courses.

The forex market has high earning potential with low capital to trade. Traders can easily invest their funds in the market and monitor it 24 hours. A strong market that attracts millions of traders daily.

Many wish to be part of this trading market to increase their earnings and be full time professional traders. In case to start your trading journey immediate visit trading platform – IronFX. Legit broker, without any IronFX scam operations.

Wednesday, April 27, 2022

Understanding the Benefits of Mining Crypto / Currencies / Crypto Mining

By: Steve_Barker

Mining crypto is becoming increasingly popular, as people are starting to realize the benefits it offers. In this article, we will discuss what crypto mining is, why you should consider it, and some of the requirements you need in order to get started. We'll also take a look at who can mine crypto and what some of the benefits are. Finally, we'll explore some of the downsides of mining crypto so that you can make an informed decision about whether or not it's right for you. So, without further ado, let's get started!

Monday, April 18, 2022

Wall Street’s “green light” to get into Crypto / Currencies / cryptocurrency

By: Stephen_McBride

It’s one of the most common questions folks ask me.

“Regulation” has been a bogeyman for the space since bitcoin (BTC) burst onto the scene 13 years ago.

Folks have long speculated new rules will crush crypto markets.

I couldn’t disagree more.

Regulation won’t kill crypto. Instead, it will lead to much higher crypto prices, as I’ll show you today.
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Sunday, April 10, 2022

Not About Gold – All About The US Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Kelsey_Williams

IT’S NOT ABOUT GOLD

There is a lot of talk centering on the US dollar and its “ultimate end as the world’s reserve currency”.

There is also additional talk about what this means with respect to the price of gold, but that is just talk.

The price of gold tells us nothing about gold. The only thing a continually rising gold price tells us is that the US dollar continues to lose purchasing power. (see What’s Next For Gold Is Always About The US Dollar)